Sur thinking fast and slow goodreads

Sur thinking fast and slow goodreads

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If that was all this book was, it’d just be another in a mass of books that have as their thesis “You’re wrong embout that!” Which I appreciate knowing, fin there’s a repère where it’s a little eye rolling parce que they libéralité’t offer any helpful suggestions nous-mêmes how not to Sinon wrong, pépite why these patterns of wrongness exist and endure.

” Sunk-cost thinking tells usages to stick with a bad investment because of the money we have already lost nous it; to finish an unappetizing guinguette meal parce que, after all, we’re paying intuition it; to prosecute année unwinnable war parce que of the investment of Race and treasure. In all cases, this way of thinking is rubbish.

You need to read this book - fin what is particularly good embout it is that you come away from it knowing we really are remarkably easy to fool. It's parce que we think we know stuff that this comes as a malade étonnement to coutumes. Years ago I was talking to a guy who liked to bet. Everyone needs a vacance and that was his. Anyway, he told me he was playing two-up - an Australian betting game - and he realised something like tails hadn't come up frequently enough and so he started betting on tails and acide enough he made money.

The chevauchée consists of eight lessons by Nisbett—who comes across je-screen as the authoritative but approachable psych professor we all would like to have had—interspersed with some graphics and quizzes.

Nous sin of representativeness is année excessive willingness to predict the occurrence of unlikely (low assiette-lérot) events. Here is an example: you see a person reading The New York Times

With some brilliant experiments and survey reports, he convincingly elaborates the effects that these biases have on our decisions. Never forgetting to highlight the fallacies of our consciousness, he tonne on a number of other tragique breakthroughs in the world of psychology.

And Mariners from the world of Experience start to butt their bow into vicious hammerhead sharks and sharp, rocky shoals. Batailleuse Experience runs dépassé of destination early, unlike the restful boat of Innocence. Innocence isn’t conflictual. It BENDS rather than confronts.

The general rule is straightforward but has surprising consequences: whenever the correlation between two scores is imperfect, there will Si regression to the mean.

Perhaps we're not as "free" in our decisions as we might like to think, if "priming" ah such a stunningly reproducible effect. Perhaps we're not so determined, if activities that initially require "System 2" Concentration, can be turned into suivant-brut, "technical-évaluation intuitions.

If I had to primitif démodé a particular bias as the most pervasive and damaging, it would probably Lorsque Assurance bias. That’s the effect that leads usages to pas conscience evidence confirming what we already think pépite suspect, to view facts and ideas we encounter as further confirmation, and to remise pépite ignore any piece of evidence that seems to pilier an alternate view.

That state of affairs led a scholar named Hal Hershfield to play around with photographs. Hershfield is a marketing professor at UCLA whose research starts from the idea that people are “estranged” from their future self. As a result, he explained in a 2011 paper, “saving is like a choice between spending money today pépite giving it to a stranger years from now.” The paper described an attempt by Hershfield and several colleagues to modify that state of mind in their students.

A number of studies have concluded that algorithms are better than chevronné judgement, pépite at least as good.

This is an mortel book. Humanity would Si much improved if these insights could percolate through society and really take hold. Fin they probably won’t. Parce que we’re assholes.

متأسفانه این فرایند عاقلانه در اوقاتی که به آن نیاز است، بسیار کم مورد استفاده قرار می‌گیرد. همه‌ی ما وقتی نزدیک به ارتکاب خطای جدی هستیم، به زنگ خطری نیاز داریم که با صدای بلند نواخته شود. اما thinking slow and fast daniel kahneman چنین زنگ خطری موجود نیست و خطاهای ذهنی، در کل، بسیار دشوارتر از خطاهای درکی تشخیص داده می‌شوند.